Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between British Virgin Islands and Curacao.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest British Virgin Islands win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.