SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Turks and Caicos win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Turks and Caicos | Draw | US Virgin Islands |
26.63% ( -0.27) | 22.34% ( -0.1) | 51.03% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 62.39% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.5% ( 0.26) | 37.49% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.28% ( 0.28) | 59.72% ( -0.27) |
| Turks and Caicos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( -0.06) | 26.66% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.09% ( -0.08) | 61.91% ( 0.08) |
| US Virgin Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.07% ( 0.22) | 14.93% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.68% ( 0.41) | 43.32% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Turks and Caicos | Draw | US Virgin Islands |
| 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.63% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.87% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.13% Total : 51.03% |
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