SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Nigeria |
39.93% ( -0.19) | 25.05% ( -0.03) | 35.01% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% ( 0.19) | 46.08% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% ( 0.18) | 68.38% ( -0.18) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( -0.01) | 22.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.3% ( -0.02) | 56.69% ( 0.02) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( 0.22) | 25.57% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.55% ( 0.3) | 60.44% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | Nigeria |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.93% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.01% |
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