World Cup | Group Stage

Nov 23, 2022 at 4pm UK

Spain
7 - 0
Costa Rica

Olmo (11'), Asensio (21'), Torres (31' pen., 54'), Gavi (74'), Soler (90'), Morata (90+2')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Calvo (68'), Campbell (90+7')

Gavi makes World Cup history in Spain's thumping win over Costa Rica

Enrique will not get carried away with Spain's seven-goal win

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Last Game: Jordan 1-3 Spain
Thursday, November 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Costa Rica	0	0	0
2	Germany	0	0	0
3	Spain	0	0	0
4	Japan	0	0	0

Costa Rica

All competitions

Last Game: Costa Rica 2-0 Nigeria
Thursday, November 10 at 2am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Costa Rica	0	0	0
2	Germany	0	0	0
3	Spain	0	0	0
4	Japan	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 8.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.75%) and 3-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Costa Rica
73.67% ( 0.38)	17.87% ( -0.26)	8.46% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 37.3% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.61% (

0.72)

50.39% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.67% (

0.64)

72.32% (

-0.63)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.82% (

0.32)

12.18% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.18% (

0.66)

37.82% (

-0.66)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.47% (

0.2)

57.52% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.66% (

0.11)

89.33% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Spain 73.65%

Costa Rica 8.46%

Draw 17.87%

Spain	Draw	Costa Rica
2-0 @ 15.52% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 14.75% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.55% Total : 73.65%	1-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.87%	0-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.26% Total : 8.46%