SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 8.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.75%) and 3-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Costa Rica |
73.67% ( 0.38) | 17.87% ( -0.26) | 8.46% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 37.3% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( 0.72) | 50.39% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( 0.64) | 72.32% ( -0.63) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.82% ( 0.32) | 12.18% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.18% ( 0.66) | 37.82% ( -0.66) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.47% ( 0.2) | 57.52% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.66% ( 0.11) | 89.33% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 2-0 @ 15.52% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 14.75% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.55% Total : 73.65% | 1-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.87% | 0-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.26% Total : 8.46% |
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