SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| 2 | Japan | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 1 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| 2 | Japan | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Costa Rica |
64.53% ( 0.19) | 21.58% ( -0.09) | 13.9% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 43.83% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( 0.12) | 51.8% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( 0.1) | 73.57% ( -0.11) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.62% ( 0.1) | 15.39% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.82% ( 0.19) | 44.18% ( -0.19) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.8% ( -0.09) | 48.2% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.62% ( -0.07) | 83.38% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 1-0 @ 13.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 64.53% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.58% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 13.9% |
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