SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antigua and Barbuda win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antigua and Barbuda win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Bahamas win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Antigua and Barbuda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahamas | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
21.14% ( 0.27) | 25.34% ( 0.68) | 53.52% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 46.47% ( -1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.45% ( -2.23) | 55.55% ( 2.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.28% ( -1.86) | 76.72% ( 1.86) |
| Bahamas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.66% ( -1.01) | 41.34% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.14% ( -0.9) | 77.86% ( 0.9) |
| Antigua and Barbuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( -1.26) | 20.77% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.58% ( -2.01) | 53.42% ( 2.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahamas | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
| 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.18% Total : 21.14% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.72)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.63) 0-2 @ 10.6% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.29)0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.51% |
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