SM
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 59.78%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 20.26% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 0-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Dominica win was 2-1 (5.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dominica | Draw | Dominican Republic |
20.26% ( 2.25) | 19.97% ( 0.56) | 59.78% ( -2.8) |
| Both teams to score 62.73% ( 2.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.57% ( 0.98) | 33.43% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.78% ( 1.12) | 55.22% ( -1.12) |
| Dominica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( 2.8) | 29.52% ( -2.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( 3.29) | 65.53% ( -3.29) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.01% ( -0.43) | 10.99% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.74% ( -0.95) | 35.26% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominica | Draw | Dominican Republic |
| 2-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.33)3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.01% Total : 20.26% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.39)0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.97% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.72)0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.51)1-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 5.82% ( -0.64)2-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 3.92% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 3.21% ( -0.42)2-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.08)1-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.21)2-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.09% Total : 59.78% |
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