SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Bermuda had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.31%) and 3-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Bermuda win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montserrat would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montserrat | Draw | Bermuda |
39.99% ( -0.06) | 22.22% ( 0) | 37.79% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 68.47% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.2% ( -0.03) | 31.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.67% ( -0.03) | 53.33% ( 0.03) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( -0.04) | 16.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% ( -0.06) | 46.75% ( 0.06) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( 0.01) | 17.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.62% ( 0.02) | 48.37% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montserrat | Draw | Bermuda |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.09% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 37.79% |
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