SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Suriname had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Suriname win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuba in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cuba | Draw | Suriname |
63.91% ( -0.27) | 20.98% ( 0.12) | 15.1% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.89% ( -0.25) | 47.11% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.65% ( -0.24) | 69.34% ( 0.23) |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.95% ( -0.17) | 14.05% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.38% ( -0.32) | 41.61% ( 0.31) |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.41% ( 0.05) | 43.58% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.22% ( 0.04) | 79.78% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cuba | Draw | Suriname |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 63.9% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 20.98% | 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 15.1% |
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