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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Haiti win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Suriname | Draw | Haiti |
37.9% ( 0.01) | 27.06% ( -0) | 35.04% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.34% ( 0.01) | 54.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.01% ( 0.01) | 75.99% ( -0.01) |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( 0.01) | 27.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.41% ( 0.02) | 63.59% ( -0.01) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( -0) | 29.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( -0) | 65.73% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Suriname | Draw | Haiti |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.89% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.03% |
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