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CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 11, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional de Futbol
JN

Nicaragua
0 - 2
Jamaica


Luis Perez (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Quijano (32' og.), Williams (69')
Latibeaudiere (6'), Reid (45+4'), Lowe (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cuba 1-1 Nicaragua
Tuesday, September 10 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Jamaica
Wednesday, September 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Nicaragua 0-1 Jamaica

These two teams have been very resilient in the early going of the new Nations League campaign, but we believe the Reggae Boyz's individual attacking quality will eventually get the job done against a well-organised Nicaraguan side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.

Result
NicaraguaDrawJamaica
66.05% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1) 20.21% (0.843 0.84) 13.73% (-0.744 -0.74)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-4.798 -4.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (-5.357 -5.36)46.6% (5.357 5.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (-5.232 -5.23)68.87% (5.23 5.23)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (-1.63 -1.63)13.25% (1.63 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98% (-3.396 -3.4)40.02% (3.395 3.4)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.75% (-4.418 -4.42)45.25% (4.419 4.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.87% (-3.725 -3.73)81.13% (3.724 3.72)
Score Analysis
    Nicaragua 66.04%
    Jamaica 13.73%
    Draw 20.21%
NicaraguaDrawJamaica
2-0 @ 12.24% (1.25 1.25)
1-0 @ 12.11% (1.9 1.9)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 8.25% (0.366 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.52 -0.52)
4-0 @ 4.17% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.494 -0.49)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.57 -0.57)
5-0 @ 1.69% (-0.141 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.3 -0.3)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.391 -0.39)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 66.04%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.461 0.46)
0-0 @ 5.99% (1.25 1.25)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.559 -0.56)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 20.21%
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.504 0.5)
1-2 @ 3.81% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.298 -0.3)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 13.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cuba 1-1 Nicaragua
Tuesday, September 10 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: French Guiana 0-1 Nicaragua
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Belize 0-4 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Nicaragua 4-1 Montserrat
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Nicaragua
Monday, May 27 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nicaragua 0-1 Cuba
Wednesday, March 27 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Jamaica
Wednesday, September 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Cuba
Saturday, September 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Venezuela
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Jamaica
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Jamaica
Sunday, June 23 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Dominica 2-3 Jamaica
Sunday, June 9 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America


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