SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Honduras | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | El Salvador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Curacao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Martinique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Panama had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Panama |
59.29% ( -0.11) | 23.81% ( 0.21) | 16.9% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.08% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.87% ( -0.9) | 55.13% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.62% ( -0.75) | 76.38% ( 0.75) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.63% ( -0.37) | 18.37% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.51% ( -0.64) | 49.49% ( 0.64) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.99% ( -0.66) | 46.01% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.28% ( -0.52) | 81.72% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 14.32% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 59.29% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.41% Total : 16.9% |
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