SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guyana win with a probability of 82.15%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 4.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guyana win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.52%) and 1-0 (12.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Bahamas win it was 0-1 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guyana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guyana | Draw | Bahamas |
82.15% ( -0.65) | 12.95% ( 0.43) | 4.9% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 33.94% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.17% ( -0.92) | 42.83% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.76% ( -0.92) | 65.24% ( 0.92) |
| Guyana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.93% ( -0.35) | 8.08% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.61% ( -0.89) | 28.4% ( 0.9) |
| Bahamas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.92% ( 0.25) | 63.08% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.85% ( 0.12) | 92.15% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guyana | Draw | Bahamas |
| 2-0 @ 16.12% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.17)1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.26)2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 82.13% | 1-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.95% | 0-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.19% Total : 4.9% |
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