Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 58.47%. A win for Cayman Islands had a probability of 21.15% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cayman Islands win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.