SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint Maarten win with a probability of 64.09%. A win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 18.54% and a draw had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint Maarten win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 (4.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sint Maarten in this match.
| Result | ||
| US Virgin Islands | Draw | Sint Maarten |
18.54% ( 0.47) | 17.36% ( 0.31) | 64.09% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 70% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.86% ( -0.71) | 23.13% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.56% ( -0.96) | 42.44% ( 0.96) |
| US Virgin Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.06) | 24.65% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% ( -0.09) | 59.18% ( 0.08) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.91% ( -0.33) | 7.09% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.15% ( -0.88) | 25.85% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| US Virgin Islands | Draw | Sint Maarten |
| 2-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 18.54% | 1-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.67% Total : 17.36% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 7.56% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 5% ( -0.12)0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 3.57% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 2.65% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.08)2-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.08)3-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)1-6 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 5.24% Total : 64.09% |
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