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Copa America | Third-Place Playoff
Jul 14, 2024 at 1am UK
Bank of America Stadium
UN

Canada
2 - 2
Uruguay

Uruguay win 4-3 on penalties
Kone (22'), David (80')
St Clair (7'), Oluwaseyi (63'), Kone (78'), St Clair (91')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bentancur (8'), Suarez (90+2')
Vina (26'), Bentancur (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Wednesday, July 10 at 1am in Copa America
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina359
2Canada3-14
3Chile3-12
4Peru3-31
All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-1 Colombia
Thursday, July 11 at 1am in Copa America

We said: Canada 0-1 Uruguay

Both nations will be motivated to end their respective Copa America campaigns on a high following their painful semi-final defeats earlier this week. Although Uruguay will not be at full strength, they will be regarded as the favourites to come out on top on Sunday, with Bielsa possessing enough quality at his disposal to steer his side to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
CanadaDrawUruguay
48.62%25.96%25.43%
Both teams to score 49.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86%54.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.45%75.55%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71%22.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25%55.75%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52%36.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74%73.26%
Score Analysis
    Canada 48.61%
    Uruguay 25.43%
    Draw 25.95%
CanadaDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.2%
1-2 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 25.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Wednesday, July 10 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Canada (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Canada 0-0 Chile
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Peru 0-1 Canada
Tuesday, June 25 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Friday, June 21 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: France 0-0 Canada
Sunday, June 9 at 8.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Uruguay 0-1 Colombia
Thursday, July 11 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Brazil (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: USA 0-1 Uruguay
Tuesday, July 2 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 5-0 Bolivia
Friday, June 28 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Panama
Monday, June 24 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Mexico 0-4 Uruguay
Thursday, June 6 at 2am in International Friendlies


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