SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Canada had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Canada |
61.74% ( -10.48) | 21.55% ( 3.88) | 16.71% ( 6.6) |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( 6.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.41% ( -1.93) | 46.59% ( 1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.14% ( -1.83) | 68.86% ( 1.83) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( -3.59) | 14.55% ( 3.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.4% ( -7.39) | 42.6% ( 7.39) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.84% ( 9.14) | 41.16% ( -9.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.3% ( 7.17) | 77.7% ( -7.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -2.35)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.62)3-0 @ 7.15% ( -2.78)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.48)4-0 @ 3.45% ( -2.04)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.71)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.47)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -1.1)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.49)Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.73% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 1.86) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 1.2)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.54% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 1.53) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 1.67)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 1.06)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.69)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.57)Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.71% |
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