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Copa America | Semi-Finals
Jul 10, 2024 at 1am UK
MetLife Stadium
CN

Argentina
2 - 0
Canada

Alvarez (22'), Messi (51')
Molina (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

David (32'), Eustaquio (63'), Marsch (77'), Kone (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 1-1 Ecuador (4-2 pen.)
Friday, July 5 at 2am in Copa America
All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Canada (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Copa America
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina359
2Canada3-14
3Chile3-12
4Peru3-31

We said: Argentina 2-0 Canada

The Canadians have been one of the most captivating stories at this tournament, but fairytales do not always have a happy ending. Canada gave Argentina a stiff test in the opening game of this tournament, but there are far too many match-winners that La Seleccion can call upon when compared to the Canucks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Canada had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result
ArgentinaDrawCanada
61.74% (-10.482 -10.48) 21.55% (3.881 3.88) 16.71% (6.599 6.6)
Both teams to score 50.27% (6.028 6.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (-1.925 -1.93)46.59% (1.923 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (-1.832 -1.83)68.86% (1.829 1.83)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-3.586 -3.59)14.55% (3.584 3.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (-7.39 -7.39)42.6% (7.387 7.39)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.84% (9.139 9.14)41.16% (-9.144 -9.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.3% (7.169 7.17)77.7% (-7.171 -7.17)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 61.73%
    Canada 16.71%
    Draw 21.54%
ArgentinaDrawCanada
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-0 @ 11.12% (-2.35 -2.35)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.617 0.62)
3-0 @ 7.15% (-2.78 -2.78)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.476 -0.48)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-2.04 -2.04)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.711 -0.71)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.473 0.47)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.062 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-1.096 -1.1)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.487 -0.49)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 61.73%
1-1 @ 10.24% (1.861 1.86)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.472 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.38% (1.202 1.2)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.54%
0-1 @ 5.32% (1.525 1.53)
1-2 @ 4.55% (1.669 1.67)
0-2 @ 2.36% (1.057 1.06)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.687 0.69)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.568 0.57)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Argentina 1-1 Ecuador (4-2 pen.)
Friday, July 5 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Peru
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Chile 0-1 Argentina
Wednesday, June 26 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Friday, June 21 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 4-1 Guatemala
Saturday, June 15 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 10 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Canada (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Canada 0-0 Chile
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Peru 0-1 Canada
Tuesday, June 25 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Friday, June 21 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: France 0-0 Canada
Sunday, June 9 at 8.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Canada
Thursday, June 6 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies


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