SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Brazil |
28.99% ( -0.23) | 26.53% ( 0.13) | 44.49% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.78% ( -0.61) | 54.22% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.38% ( -0.51) | 75.62% ( 0.51) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% ( -0.49) | 33.63% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.72% ( -0.54) | 70.28% ( 0.54) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( -0.22) | 24.25% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.39% ( -0.31) | 58.61% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uruguay | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.99% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.48% |
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