Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chile in this match.