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Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
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Chile
1 - 0
Bolivia

Brereton (10')
Maripan (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vaca (53'), Bejarano (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chile in this match.

Result
ChileDrawBolivia
51.76%26.12%22.12%
Both teams to score 45.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.63%57.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.81%78.19%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74%22.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29%55.71%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62%41.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11%77.89%
Score Analysis
    Chile 51.75%
    Bolivia 22.12%
    Draw 26.12%
ChileDrawBolivia
1-0 @ 13.83%
2-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 9.17%
3-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 51.75%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 9.21%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 8.13%
1-2 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.19%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 22.12%

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