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Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 15, 2021 at 1am UK
 
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Paraguay
3 - 1
Bolivia

Romero (62'), Romero (65', 80')
Arzamendia (8'), Espinola (45+11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Saavedra (10' pen.)
Bejarano (29'), Cuellar Mendoza (38'), Flores (40')
Cuellar Mendoza (45+9')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.

Result
ParaguayDrawBolivia
51.55%25.76%22.69%
Both teams to score 47.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43%55.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26%76.74%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4%21.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29%54.71%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21%39.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55%76.46%
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 51.55%
    Bolivia 22.69%
    Draw 25.75%
ParaguayDrawBolivia
1-0 @ 13.17%
2-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 9.3%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 8.6%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 7.92%
1-2 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.69%

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