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Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 14, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
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Argentina
1 - 1
Chile

Messi (33')
Martinez (30'), Martinez (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vargas (57')
Isla (25'), Pulgar (32'), Vidal (35')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Chile had a probability of 23.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
ArgentinaDrawChile
50.96%25.65%23.39%
Both teams to score 48.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42%54.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08%75.92%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55%21.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52%54.47%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.44%38.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.69%75.3%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 50.95%
    Chile 23.39%
    Draw 25.65%
ArgentinaDrawChile
1-0 @ 12.73%
2-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 5.03%
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.88%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.39%

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