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Friendlies 1
Jun 9, 2024 at 2am UK
Soldier Field
BN

Mexico
2 - 3
Brazil

Quinones (73' og.), Martinez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (5'), Martinelli (54'), Endrick (90+6')
Couto (27'), Militao (68'), Endrick (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-4 Uruguay
Thursday, June 6 at 2am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 3-3 Brazil
Tuesday, March 26 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 0-2 Brazil

Mexico will be looking to bounce back from their disappointing performance against Uruguay, but this will be a tough assignment against a very talented Brazil side. We are not expecting too many goals on Saturday but believe that Brazil will have too much quality for their opponents in the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawBrazil
38.84% (-1.6 -1.6) 26.96% (0.285 0.29) 34.2% (1.314 1.31)
Both teams to score 50.85% (-0.599 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.63% (-0.893 -0.89)54.36% (0.89599999999999 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25% (-0.751 -0.75)75.74% (0.752 0.75)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (-1.295 -1.3)27.28% (1.296 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (-1.713 -1.71)62.72% (1.714 1.71)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (0.414 0.41)30.07% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.79% (0.493 0.49)66.2% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 38.83%
    Brazil 34.2%
    Draw 26.96%
MexicoDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.86% (0.447 0.45)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.333 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mexico 0-4 Uruguay
Thursday, June 6 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Bolivia
Saturday, June 1 at 2.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-2 USA
Monday, March 25 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 0-3 Mexico
Friday, March 22 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Sunday, December 17 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Honduras (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 22 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Spain 3-3 Brazil
Tuesday, March 26 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: England 0-1 Brazil
Saturday, March 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Brazil 0-1 Argentina
Wednesday, November 22 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Brazil
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 2-0 Brazil
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Venezuela
Friday, October 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America


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