SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Venezuela |
37.34% ( 0.01) | 29.93% ( -0) | 32.73% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.14% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0) | 65.01% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.1% | 83.9% ( -0) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( 0.01) | 33.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.87% ( 0.01) | 70.13% ( -0.01) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% ( -0.01) | 36.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.58% ( -0.01) | 73.42% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.34% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.26% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.92% | 0-1 @ 12.32% 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.88% Total : 32.73% |
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