SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Mirandes |
48.68% ( -0.52) | 27.79% ( 0.33) | 23.52% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 42.71% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.14% ( -0.93) | 61.85% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.37% ( -0.69) | 81.63% ( 0.69) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( -0.67) | 25.63% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.48% ( -0.92) | 60.52% ( 0.92) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.43% ( -0.35) | 42.57% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.07% ( -0.3) | 78.92% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 14.85% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.01% Total : 48.68% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.08% Total : 23.52% |
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