SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Burgos |
48.25% ( -0.14) | 26.67% | 25.08% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% ( 0.1) | 57.01% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% ( 0.08) | 77.9% ( -0.08) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( -0.02) | 23.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.21% ( -0.03) | 57.79% ( 0.03) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.63% ( 0.18) | 38.36% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.88% ( 0.17) | 75.12% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 48.24% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 25.08% |
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