SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cacereno had a probability of 11.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.51%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Cacereno win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cacereno | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
11.89% ( 0.23) | 21.67% ( 0.55) | 66.44% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 38.46% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.92% ( -1.47) | 56.08% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.85% ( -1.21) | 77.15% ( 1.21) |
| Cacereno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.89% ( -0.49) | 54.1% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.66% ( -0.3) | 87.34% ( 0.31) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( -0.75) | 16.2% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.31% ( -1.39) | 45.69% ( 1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cacereno | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 3.01% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.89% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.67% | 0-1 @ 15.95% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 14.51% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 8.81% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.2)0-4 @ 4.01% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.24% Total : 66.43% |
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