SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
53.85% ( 3.78) | 23.27% ( 0.02) | 22.88% ( -3.8) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( -4.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.56% ( -3.67) | 45.44% ( 3.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.23% ( -3.6) | 67.77% ( 3.6) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( 0.03) | 16.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.23% ( 0.05) | 46.77% ( -0.04) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.04% ( -5.08) | 33.95% ( 5.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.37% ( -5.89) | 70.63% ( 5.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 1.51) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 9.08% ( 1.36)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.81)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.36)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.85% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.85)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.66)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.75)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.63)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.56)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.35)Other @ 2.21% Total : 22.88% |
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