SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
59.4% ( -0.38) | 21.24% ( 0.04) | 19.36% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( 0.31) | 40.9% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.7% ( 0.32) | 63.29% ( -0.32) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( -0.01) | 13.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.6% ( -0.03) | 40.39% ( 0.03) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% ( 0.53) | 34.78% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.49% ( 0.56) | 71.51% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.14)1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 59.4% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.36% |
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