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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
AM

Valladolid
0 - 5
Atletico


Perez (32')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Lenglet (26'), Alvarez (35'), De Paul (37'), Griezmann (52'), Sorloth (90+2')
Galan (41'), Simeone (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Valladolid
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-6 Atletico
Tuesday, November 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Real Valladolid 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico have only won three of their seven away La Liga matches this season, but Real Valladolid have been victorious in just one of their seven games on home soil, and we are struggling to see anything other than a comfortable away success in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAtletico Madrid
21.09% (-0.117 -0.12) 25.5% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 53.4% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 45.97% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.82% (0.041000000000004 0.04)56.17% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03)77.23% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.25% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)41.75% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)78.21% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (0.079999999999998 0.08)21.07% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (0.128 0.13)53.89% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 21.09%
    Atletico Madrid 53.38%
    Draw 25.5%
Real ValladolidDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.23% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 21.09%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 13.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.54% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 53.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Valladolid
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, November 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Valladolid
Saturday, November 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Astur 1-4 Valladolid
Tuesday, October 29 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valladolid 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, October 26 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 2-3 Valladolid
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-6 Atletico
Tuesday, November 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Alaves
Saturday, November 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Atletico
Sunday, November 10 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: PSG 1-2 Atletico
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, November 3 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Vic 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, October 31 at 6pm in Copa del Rey


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