Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 87.58%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Cayon had a probability of 3.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.84%) and 0-4 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.25%), while for a Cayon win it was 1-0 (1.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.