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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
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Girona
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Tsygankov (55')
Blind (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (67')
Guruzeta (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Girona
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Girona's winning run will come to an end at some point, and Athletic have enough quality to triumph on Monday. It is so difficult to back the hosts to lose at the moment, but we are expecting the points to be shared here, as Athletic have also been one of the most impressive sides in the division this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GironaDrawAthletic Bilbao
37.56% (-0.646 -0.65) 26.68% (0.251 0.25) 35.76% (0.395 0.39)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.785 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (-1.012 -1.01)53.08% (1.012 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.868 -0.87)74.66% (0.86799999999999 0.87)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59% (-0.843 -0.84)27.4% (0.842 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (-1.105 -1.11)62.88% (1.104 1.1)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.24900000000001 -0.25)28.47% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (-0.315 -0.32)64.23% (0.314 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Girona 37.55%
    Athletic Bilbao 35.76%
    Draw 26.67%
GironaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.154 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.306 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.318 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Girona
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Girona
Saturday, November 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: San Roque de Lepe 1-2 Girona
Wednesday, November 1 at 11am in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 1-0 Celta Vigo
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 5-2 Almeria
Sunday, October 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Girona
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-3 Celta Vigo
Friday, November 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-3 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rubi 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Valencia
Sunday, October 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Almeria
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in La Liga


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