Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
