SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
21.39% ( 0.1) | 23.1% ( 0.07) | 55.51% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.6% ( -0.18) | 46.4% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.32% ( -0.17) | 68.68% ( 0.17) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.11% ( -0) | 35.89% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.33% ( -0) | 72.66% ( 0) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.44% ( -0.12) | 16.56% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.66% ( -0.22) | 46.33% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.39% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.9% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 55.51% |
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