Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 79.27%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 6.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
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