Mallorca have been impressive in this season's competition, and we are expecting Tuesday's affair to be close. Real Sociedad are still missing a number of important players, but we are backing the Basque side to secure a narrow advantage ahead of the second leg at the end of the month.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 45.81%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
1.81) 
-1.88) 
