Like Saturday's encounter, we expect the quarter-final tie to produce a close-fought contest, but after winning their last five away games against Celta Vigo, we think that Real Sociedad should do enough to enjoy another successful outing at Balaidos.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
-1.09) 
0.06) 
