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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
ML

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 0
Mallorca

Berchiche (3', 16'), Guruzeta (62'), Muniain (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Larin (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Betis
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Mallorca

Muriqi's return to fitness is huge for Mallorca, and it would not be a surprise to see him on the scoresheet for the visitors here. Athletic will be determined to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight, though, and we are expecting them to navigate their way to all three points on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 20.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawMallorca
54.21% (0.221 0.22) 25.03% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 20.76% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 46.82% (-0.201 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18% (-0.123 -0.12)54.82% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.88% (-0.104 -0.1)76.12% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (0.040000000000006 0.04)20.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (0.064999999999998 0.06)52.52% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.67% (-0.281 -0.28)41.33% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.16% (-0.249 -0.25)77.84% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 54.2%
    Mallorca 20.76%
    Draw 25.04%
Athletic BilbaoDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 13.35% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 54.2%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 20.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, January 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-2 Barcelona
Wednesday, January 24 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Eibar 0-3 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Betis
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 3-2 Girona
Wednesday, January 24 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, January 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Tenerife 0-1 Mallorca
Tuesday, January 16 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Burgos 0-3 Mallorca
Sunday, January 7 at 11am in Copa del Rey


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