SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.44%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Sociedad |
27.15% ( 0.85) | 28.41% ( 0.3) | 44.44% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.95% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.25% ( -0.56) | 61.75% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.45% ( -0.41) | 81.55% ( 0.42) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.8% ( 0.42) | 39.2% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.09% ( 0.39) | 75.91% ( -0.38) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( -0.86) | 27.71% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.72% ( -1.11) | 63.28% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 27.14% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 13.94% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.25)1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.71% Total : 44.44% |
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