We said: Valencia 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
This has all of the makings of a fascinating contest, and it is likely to be a very tight second leg at Mestalla. It would not be a surprise to see either side advance to the final, but we just have a feeling that Athletic will shade the contest in 90 minutes to secure a 2-1 aggregate success.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
