We said: Valencia 1-2 Barcelona
Barcelona have serious defensive problems heading into this match, but Valencia's recent form has been very disappointing, so it is very difficult to back the home side to triumph. Barcelona are actually unbeaten in their last eight away matches, and we are backing the visitors to secure all three points here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 22.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Valencia win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
