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Old Firm derby: 8 hrs 33 mins
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VL
La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 25, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Mestalla
AB

Valencia
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Maranhao (90+5')
Gomez (45+4'), Guillamon (47'), Jason (90+2'), Vallejo (90+8')
Gomez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (69')
Garcia (49'), Berenguer (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAthletic Bilbao
38.79%28.59%32.62%
Both teams to score 45.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.35%60.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.27%80.73%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65%30.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46%66.54%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64%34.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93%71.07%
Score Analysis
    Valencia 38.79%
    Athletic Bilbao 32.61%
    Draw 28.58%
ValenciaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.79%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.58%
0-1 @ 11.13%
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 32.61%

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