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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 7, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
San Mames
VL

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Valencia

Guillamon (43' og.)
Berenguer (51'), Martinez (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Paulista (66')
Soler (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
44.28%27.15%28.58%
Both teams to score 48.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.25%56.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3%77.7%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51%25.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67%60.33%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.7%35.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.95%72.06%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 44.27%
    Valencia 28.58%
    Draw 27.14%
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.58%

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