Rayo will rest a number of key players on Tuesday, but we are finding it incredibly difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable success for the La Liga outfit, who should have far too much quality all over the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 96.21%. A draw had a probability of 3.3% and a win for Villamuriel had a probability of 0.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-3 with a probability of 17.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (16.48%) and 0-2 (13.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.94%), while for a Villamuriel win it was 1-0 (0.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Villamuriel	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
0.46%	3.33%	96.21%

Both teams to score 14.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.38%

24.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.58%

44.42%

Villamuriel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

15.1%

84.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

1.2%

98.8%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.72%

2.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

89.1%

10.9%

Score Analysis

Villamuriel 0.46%

Rayo Vallecano 96.19%

Draw 3.33%

Villamuriel	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
Other @ 0.46% Total : 0.46%	0-0 @ 1.94% 1-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.2% Total : 3.33%	0-3 @ 17.43% 0-4 @ 16.48% 0-2 @ 13.83% 0-5 @ 12.46% 0-6 @ 7.86% 0-1 @ 7.32% 0-7 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 2.7% 1-2 @ 2.27% 1-5 @ 2.04% 0-8 @ 2.01% 1-6 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.42% Total : 96.19%