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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
AM

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Atletico

Isi (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gallagher (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 RB Leipzig
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico have so much quality all across the pitch, and with Simeone having the luxury of freshening his side this weekend, we are not expecting a European hangover. Rayo have enough about them to score, but we are backing the visitors to navigate their way to all three points on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
23.84% (-0.183 -0.18) 25.89% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 50.26% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 48.06% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.91% (0.011999999999993 0.01)55.08% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.66% (0.010000000000002 0.01)76.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.157 -0.16)38.42% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (-0.15 -0.15)75.17% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (0.101 0.1)21.96% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (0.155 0.16)55.25% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 23.84%
    Atletico Madrid 50.26%
    Draw 25.89%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.85% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 23.84%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 12.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.69% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.9% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 50.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Osasuna
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, August 31 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, August 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, August 24 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, August 18 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 RB Leipzig
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Sunday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Atletico
Saturday, August 31 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Espanyol
Wednesday, August 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Girona
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-2 Atletico
Monday, August 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga


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