Girona have experienced three consecutive defeats, but they have performed well in recent meetings with Rayo, and we think that they will make full use of the home advantage to clinch a fourth successive head-to-head victory over Michel's former side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
0.8) 
-0.11) 
