Both sides will be pleased with their starts this season, and this is shaping up to be a very interesting match. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory on Sunday, but we just have a feeling that a tight game will end with the points being shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.
-0.07) 
0.17) 
