SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Ceara |
50.33% ( 0.14) | 27.1% ( -0.04) | 22.58% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.53% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.7% ( 0.08) | 60.31% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.53% ( 0.06) | 80.47% ( -0.06) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( 0.1) | 24.16% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.52% ( 0.14) | 58.48% ( -0.14) |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.05) | 42.61% ( 0.05) |
