Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
0.14) 
-0.04) 
