Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Goianiense in this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
