Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avai would win this match.

Result
Avai	Draw	Ceara
38.94% ( 2.07)	27.33% ( -0.35)	33.72% ( -1.72)

Both teams to score 49.61% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.1% (

1.17)

55.9% (

-1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23% (

0.95)

77% (

-0.95)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05% (

1.79)

27.95% (

-1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.43% (

2.22)

63.57% (

-2.23)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85% (

-0.53)

31.15% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52% (

-0.62)

67.48% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Avai 38.94%

Ceara 33.72%

Draw 27.33%

Avai	Draw	Ceara
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.94%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.46) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.72%