Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
